Will there be a Brokered Democratic Convention?

by Daveda Gruber:

It appears that there is no clear frontrunner in the Democratic race for the leadership of the party.

The Iowa caucuses are less than six weeks away and there is no outright favorite. In more than a half of a century we have not seen a convention that goes beyond a first ballot but we may see it happen.

If this first ballot does not work out, and it certainly looks like that is a possibility,  we will see a brokered or contested convention.

The last time that either of the major party nominating conventions went past a first ballot was 1952. In that year Adlai Stevenson won the Democratic nomination on the third ballot.

Kathy Sullivan, the Democratic National Committee member from New Hampshire, recently said, “It could happen, it would be exciting to see it go past the first ballot because it would be so unusual.”

Sullivan added, “It’s been a long, long, long time since there’s been a second ballot at a Democratic convention.”

Even if the possibility of a brokered convention is not a strong possibility, conditions in this race could possibly lead to no candidate holding a clear majority of delegates when they head into the July Democratic convention in Milwaukee.

Here’s where the electoral college comes into play. We’ve all heard about superdelegates. These delegates are the party elders and insiders. But the superdelegates were stripped of their power in the 2016 primary battle. After all, Hillary Clinton was destined to win, if only in the minds of the Democrats.

This upcoming election does not have a presumed frontrunner so the superdelegates could become important and their powers would be activated.

They would be free to boost the candidates of their choosing. Their choice is not an easy task. Who could possibly beat the incumbent, President Trump? None, as far as I can see.

The top tier consists of four candidates. They are former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

The donors to the Democrats are a diverse group. Sanders, Warren and even a long shot candidate like tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang could see their campaigns funded by people-powered donations into the primary process.

Online contributions are interfering with the once powerful wealthy donors  who still back more establishment candidates and those candidates would be Biden or possibly Buttigieg.

Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg and environmental advocate Tom Steyer are pouring hundreds of millions of their own money into their own campaigns. That alone could keep them going if they can manage to hang in the race long enough.

If three or four contenders are still standing when heading into April, they would all fall short of the 1,919 delegates that are needed to clinch the nomination on the first ballot.

Sullivan explained, “You’d have to have a situation where multiple candidates come out of the first four states with wins. You’d go into Super Tuesday and have some candidates concentrating in certain states, others in other states, because it’s very expensive to run in all the states on Super Tuesday. Not all the candidates can afford to do that.”

She went on to say, “So if we come out of Super Tuesday with no clear leader and then it becomes a state-by-state contest and then we end up in New York towards the end of April. If after that point we still don’t have [a clear leader], then yes, it goes to the convention and conceivably a second ballot.”

Democratic governors, senators, representatives, former high-ranking lawmakers and leading party officials, who make up the superdelegates, all backed their favorite candidate, Clinton, in 2016.

But after the 2016 election, the DNC pulled back the influence of superdelegates because of the anger of Sanders and his army of progressive supporters.

Now, the superdelegates are only unbound if the convention reaches a second round.

Then there is another scenario.

If one of the candidate gets strong in the early states, the nomination race could be over pretty fast.

In 2004 when then Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts wrapped his nomination early.

If the battle between the candidates goes to a second ballot in Milwaukee, Sullivan maintains that we shouldn’t expect to see a repeat of the contested conventions from the history books.

Sullivan said, “People refer to brokered conventions, which leads you to think of people in smoke-filled rooms making deals, cutting deals. I don’t think you’re going to see deal-making going on because all these people [delegates] are free agents. It would be a very democratic process.”

A Democratic process? Is she suggesting that the 2016 process wasn’t? No, Clinton was the clear choice for everyone in the party even if they cheated Sanders out of it.

Unfortunately for them, they were all wrong. They backed their candidate without any thought that Trump would or could defeat their choice for president.

Personally, I believe Trump will be the winner no matter who the Democrats put up against him.

If I were a Democrat, which I am not, I’d be panicking about now.

New Poll Shows These Candidates Leading

by Daveda Gruber:

A new national poll shows who is leading the still large group of Democrats in the race to become the presidential nominee for 2020.

In a NPR PBS News Hour Marist poll released on Monday which was conducted by Public Opinion Director Lee Miringoff, former Vice President Joe Biden is at 24 percent and Bernie Sanders D-VT, at 22 percent in the polling of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independent voters. The numbers are within the survey’s sampling error.

The poll was conducted between December 9th and 11th, with 1,508 registered voters nationwide, which included 704 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. They were questioned by live telephone operators. The margin of error for questions on the Democratic presidential primary is plus or minus 5.4 percentage points.

Other candidates are Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth is at 17 percent after slipping slightly in the poll. South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who was a long-shot climbed to 13 percent support.

Tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang is at 5 percent and Senator Cory Booker  D-NJ., Senator Amy Klobuchar D-MN., and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg all at 4 percent.

Senator Michael Bennet D-CO, Representative Tulsi Gabbard D-HI, and former Obama housing secretary and former San Antonio, Texas Mayor Julian Castro are all at 1 percent.

All other candidate else registered at less than 1 percent.

The next debate is scheduled for December 19, 2019 at 9:00 PM at Gersten Pavilion at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles, California.

The field is large and diverse but the question in most American’s minds is can anyone of these candidates beat President Trump.

What say you? Can a Democratic candidate beat Trump?

What Does Hunter Biden Want to be Kept Secret?

by Daveda Gruber:

Hunter Biden, who is the son of former Vice President Joe Biden, filed a protective order to have his financial records sealed.

It appears that the younger Biden’s lawyers are afraid that information of Biden’s finances could cause problems if the details were used by the media.

The filing, according to the Daily Mail, says, “The likelihood that [Biden’s] private records will be used in an inappropriate or malicious manner for reasons that have absolutely nothing to do with these proceedings is exceedingly high and should not be tolerated by the court.”

Attorneys for the former Vice President’s son claim that because of the high public profile, the media could use details maliciously and that could allegedly cause Biden public embarrassment.

The motion was filed on Wednesday in Arkansas as part of an ongoing child support suit in which an earlier court filing in the case alleged that DNA tests confirm with “scientific certainty” that Hunter is the biological father of a child born to Lunden Alexis Roberts in August 2018.

The 49 year old Biden had denied having sexual intercourse with the 28 year old Roberts and she filed paternity suit which proved that Hunter is the biological father of her child after DNA tests confirmed it with “scientific certainty.”

Roberts had allegedly claimed that Biden had privately admitted to her that he is the father of her child but continued to deny it publicly.

At the time of Roberts’ pregnancy, Hunter was in a relationship with his late brother Beau’s widow, Hallie.

Biden then married 32-year-old Melissa Cohen in May of this year, a month after splitting from Hallie. Beau died from brain cancer.

Biden left his first wife, Kathleen, who is the mother of his three daughters, in 2016 after a marriage of 22 years. It was then that he moved in with Hallie Biden,

In the divorce, his wife claimed he had spent extravagantly on his own interests (including drugs, alcohol, prostitutes, strip clubs and gifts for women with whom he has sexual relations), while leaving the family with no funds to pay legitimate bills.

Roberts is demanding $11,000  in legal fees as well as child support, and has agreed that a protective order is appropriate.

In a sworn statement, Biden says that he has incurred “significant debts” in part due to his 2017 divorce from Kathleen Biden and that he is unemployed at this time and has had no monthly income since May 2019.

Well, we know that Hunter allegedly made money when he was on the Board of the Ukraine energy company, Burisma. He also allegedly made money in other foreign companies.

Maybe Hunter’s first wife nailed it about Hunter’s extravagant lifestyle? Well, in my opinion, Hunter either blew an exorbitant amount of money or he has some stashed somewhere.

Schiff: Whistleblower to Speak before Congress

by Daveda Gruber:

On Sunday House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff, D-Calif., announced that an agreement had been reached with the House and the whistleblower who filed a complaint about President Trump in regard to the July phone call between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Schiff was a guest on ABC’s “This Week” and explained that the agreement with the whistleblower and his or her lawyers has been settled.  He also made it clear that the identity of the whistleblower would be protected.

Schiff said, “As with [acting Director of National Intelligence Joseph] Mcguire, that whistleblower will be allowed to come in without White House or DOJ lawyers to tell him or her what they can or can’t say.”

Schiff also added, “We are taking all the precautions we can to protect the whistleblower’s identity. With President Trump’s threats, you can imagine the security concerns here.”

Schiff’s concern with the anonymity of the whistleblower comes after Trump allegedly threatened “the person” who he said gave information to the whistleblower when he spoke with staff from the U.S. mission to the United Nations at a private event in New York.

The whistleblower remains unnamed at this point but much is on the table regarding the testimony to be given before Congress.

Republications will have to pick a side because the impeachment of a president is no small matter.

Trump will also have pressure on himself to rebut the core contentions of the aforementioned phone call.

In an audio posted by The Los Angeles Times Trump said, “Who’s the person who gave the whistleblower the information? Because that’s close to a spy. You know what we used to do in the old days when we were smart? Right? The spies and treason, we used to handle it a little differently than we do now.”

On Sunday Schiff was on NBC’s “Meet The Press.” On that show Schiff said that the president’s behavior was so “egregious” that House lawmakers were forced to open an impeachment inquiry relating to his call with the Ukrainian leader.

Schiff said, “The gravamen of the offense here is the president using the power of his office to coerce a foreign nation into helping his presidential campaign to once again interfere in our election, and at the same time withholding foreign aid that country so desperately needs to fight off who? The Russians.”

He also added, “The situation demands that we move forward with the inquiry.”

The Democrats, if not all of them, then at least the progressive ones want to impeach President Trump and have given the rest of their party no alternative but to initiate an inquiry into impeachment. The fact that no vote to do so was implemented doesn’t seem to bother lawmakers.

Folks, I don’t know about you but, I read the readout of the phone call in question. From the information given, at this point, it appears that former Vice President Joe Biden and his son, Hunter Biden, have a lot more to worry about than Trump.

I’ve always said that the wheels of justice move very slowly but I’ve never waited this long to see justice being served. After all, there is a video which shows that the elder Biden used quid pro quo in getting the top Ukrainian prosecutor, Viktor Shokin, fired.

Biden allegedly wanted the prosecutor ousted to protect his son, Hunter, from being investigated. That fact is adamantly denied by Biden.

The Ukraine’s largest private gas company, Burisma, hired the younger Biden and paid him up to $50,000 a month.

Stayed tuned folks, corruption is abundant in government but the end result of that finding doesn’t necessarily tell the whole story.

Is your popcorn ready? Mine is.

Want to Read the Transcript of the Call Trump Made to Ukraine?

by Daveda Gruber:

What could President Donald Trump have said to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in July? You can actually see it here and decide for yourself.

The transcripts of the call have been released and nothing is redacted.

Of course, after reading, Democrats will interpret the wording one way and Republicans another way. Did you expect anything different?

Read the report here:

Ukraine Call Transcript by Fox News on Scribd

The person who is actually looking bad in the transcript is former Vice President Joe Biden.

Trump told the American people that the stock market rising after the transcript came up is a great indication that the phone call had nothing wrong in it and had more to say.

Here is Trump speaking:

Trump tweeted this:

Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi came out of closed door meetings on Tuesday and said that the Democrats are opening an investigation into the impeachment of Trump. But the Democrats jumped the gun and didn’t bother to wait until the transcript was released today to look at the transcript of the phone call that was at the helm of the Whistleblower letter that allegedly accused someone of wrong doing.

But Democrats have not seen the Whistleblower report. The name of the Whistleblower is not known as of yet.

Democrats now want to see the Whistleblower’s accusation; in fact, they’re demanding it.

The mention of promised money being held back for information on Joe Biden’s son, Hunter Biden is what the Democrats were banking on. There was no such message in the phone call according to the transcripts.

But then, Democrats have an unusual way of reading and seeing documents in a rather different light than Republicans.

The blame game is in full force. Democrats, in fact, one in particular, Representative Adam Schiff, D-CA.,  is stating that money was withheld and that the president of the Ukraine allegedly got a Mafia like threat that didn’t have to be actually stated for him to assume he was being threatened by monies being withheld.

Hear/see Schiff speak here:

The question of the alleged deeds of Joe Biden being investigated for alleged possible wrong doing involving his son Hunter is actually something that should be investigated.

Congressman Jerrold Nadler, D-N.Y., is calling for Attorney General William Barr to recuse himself from a possible Ukrainian probe.

Haven’t we had enough with the Russia probe? Do we want to spend another few years on a new probe now that it is rather obvious that nothing came out of Mueller’s report on a very costly investigation? No!

The president has been talking to world leaders at the UN this week. The problems in the world are at the forefront but the Democrats have taken this week to over-shadow Trump with attacking him once more.

How many times can these lawmakers step away from the job that they are paid for and create investigations that are very expensive but produce no particular outcome?

It appears that the answer is as many as they can.

Get out the popcorn because this investigation cannot end well for the Democrats. They’ve been caught with their hands in the cookie jar. My humble opinion on this matter is that the former vice president is the one who will go down over this.

Which Democrat Will be Next to Drop Out of the Race?

by Daveda Gruber:

As time goes on, the group of presidential runners for the Democratic nomination is slowly shrinking. The next person to be stepping out of the race will most likely be the man who had a Spartacus moment earlier this year.

Senator Cory Booker’s D-NJ., campaign manager, Addisu Demissie, sent out a memo to staffers that warned that Booker must raise an additional $1.7 million by the end of the third quarter of fundraising, which is only 10 days away. If this can’t be done, Booker’s campaign will not have a “legitimate long-term path forward.”

Two sources have allegedly explained that the memo was leaked to NBC News and for good reason. There is now an ongoing effort to spark a rise in fundraising over the next ten days.

Booker tweeted this:

On Saturday morning a campaign memo was sent to political reporters.

The memo reads, “This isn’t an end-of-quarter stunt or another one of those memos from a campaign trying to spin the press. This is a real, unvarnished look under the hood of our operation at a level of transparency unprecedented in modern presidential campaigns.”

Booker had built an intimidating operation in the early voting primary and caucus states. Large staff on the ground in Iowa, New Hampshire, and other early voting states is rather expensive to maintain.

Demissie has warned that while the campaign can continue at its current size and strength,  it does need more funding if it wants to expand to what it needs to be.

Demissie wrote in the memo, “If our campaign is not in a financial position to grow, he’s not going to continue to consume resources and attention that can be used to focus on beating Donald Trump, which needs to be everyone’s first priority.”

Booker launched his run for president early in February and qualified for the third and fourth round Democratic presidential primary debates.

The New Jersey Senator raised 4.5 million in the April-June second quarter of fundraising. That many sound like a lot but it actually is far behind former Vice President, Joe Biden; Senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders; Senator from Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren; and South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

But Booker has also struggled in polling. He averages in the low to mid-single digits, which is far behind the top-tier contenders who are former Vice President Joe Biden and Senators  Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.

From what I see, one of these top three will be the Democratic nominee.

Have You Seen the New Biden Video?

by Daveda Gruber:

President Trump’s reelection campaign seems to be enjoying keeping an eye on former Vice President Joe Biden.

The new video that they have released shows that they carefully have compiled the best clips of Biden gaffs.

The clips show a confused Biden stumbling through gaffs and other verbal fumbles and even bumbling interactions with fellow candidates for the 2020 presidential nomination.

The 76 year old Biden as turned out to be the gift that keeps on giving.  His remarks including  “poor kids” are just as talented as “white kids,” not knowing that he was in New Hampshire when he described how beautiful Vermont is, choosing “truth over facts” and “record players,” which he mentioned on the most recent debate stage.

Then there was Biden calling Senator Cory Booker, D-N.J., the president then switched it to “future president.” Biden has also referred to himself as the current Vice President.

Former Housing Secretary Julian Castro, who served in the Obama administration with Biden, hit Biden with a low blow about Biden’s memory. Castro argued that Biden contradicted himself on whether Americans would have to buy into his healthcare plan.

Castro asked, “You just said two minutes ago they would have to buy in. Are you forgetting what you said two minutes ago?”

It was a low blow because it was later proven by the Biden campaign that Castro had gotten it wrong.

The video closes with an indication that Trump gave Sleepy Joe a perfect name.

Trump’s campaign manager, Brad Parscale, tweeted this out on Tuesday:

It is understandable that some Democrats are fearful of Biden’s ability to run against Trump if Biden should win the Democratic nomination.

I’m going to go out on a limb and say that in my personal opinion there is no Democratic candidate running for the nomination who can beat Trump. I’d invite Biden to challenge Trump.

Relax and get out the popcorn, this should be fun.

Watch the video here:

Donald Hump – a Biden Freudian Slip?

by Daveda Gruber:

Former Vice President Joe Biden was using a line he likes to spew on the campaign trail.

While in Manchester, New Hampshire, at the New Hampshire Democratic Party’s annual convention, Biden took jabs at President Trump.

Biden said, “We cannot and I will not let this man be re-elected president of the United States. Limited to four years, I believe history will look at the presidency as an aberrate moment in time.”

Biden continued and put emphases on the Freudian slip,  “If Donald Hump, Donald Trump, Freudian slip.”

The crowd of Democrats cheered as Biden corrected himself and repeated the line, saying “if Donald Trump is re-elected, he will forever and fundamentally alter the character of this nation.”

It is no secret that Biden would love to beat the man who occupies the White House, President Trump.

Biden has made electability one of his top selling points as he scuffles in the crowded Democratic group of challengers for the nomination. He spent much of his address to the New Hampshire audience targeting Trump.

To the pleasure of the Democrat audience, Biden repeated a line he likes to use in saying that Trump “lacks the moral authority to lead”.

He went on to say, “This president has more in common with George Wallace than George Washington.”

There it is folks, Biden speaking, in a nut shell.

Is Biden Suffering Brain Damage?

by Daveda Gruber:

On Wednesday former Vice President Joe Biden’s eye appeared red with blood during a climate change town hall hosted by CNN.

During this evening event, people took to social media to spread the images.

This bloodshot eye brought to light questions about Biden’s health.

A doctor who viewed the eye images, Dr. Danielle Strauss, a board-certified ophthalmologist practicing in New York and New Jersey, said “Mr. Biden appeared to develop a subconjunctival hemorrhage. This is a common and harmless condition which can develop after coughing, sneezing or straining, and is more common in elderly people on blood thinners.”

Dr. Danielle Strauss  continued, “People who develop this may not notice it until they look in the mirror or until someone else points it out.”

Now, that’s all well and good but the doctor did not examine the 76 year old Biden.

The former VP’s health issues didn’t start on Wednesday evening.

He suffered from two brain aneurysms in 1988.

Biden’s mental health has been questioned, as well, as of late.

Dr. Neal Kassell, who treated Biden for the aforementioned brain aneurysms, maintains that Biden’s brain is intact and functioning and that he has no brain damage from the hemorrhage or the operations.

I tend not to believe everything that I am told. Frankly, I just don’t believe everything that is said by others.

If Biden has any alleged health issues, those issues would be kept quiet at this time.

Have You Heard What Biden Said?

by Daveda Gruber:

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the current front runner in the 2020 Democratic primary but this may come to an end as the man clearly has a problem with gaffes.

Biden, who is 76 years old now and will be 77 in November seems to get confused easily. The man, at times, appears to try to cover up his mistakes and sometimes he lets them slide because he may not even know what he said wrong.

Biden appears to be not as left leaning as some of his competitors and that may appeal to some Democrats who don’t lean all the way to the left.

While talking to a group of Asian and Latino Commission in Des Moines, Iowa. Biden said, “We have this notion that somehow if you’re poor, you cannot do it. Poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids.”

At the Iowa State Fair Biden mystified some in the crowd when he said, ” We choose truth over facts.”

Remember that Biden would be 78 years old if he won the Democratic nomination and that may be a little too old to start a term of the presidency if he were even able to win.

Would creepy uncle Joe even have enough stamina to run against President Trump? The campaign trail can be grueling and public speaking appearances and debates need a lot of focus. Does Biden have the intelligence to be on the ball to get through all of this? No, I don’t believe so.

Would we hear more gaffes from him? Probably we would hear more than we need or want to hear. The gaffes are already happening more frequently.

There are two new gaffes that are on video. They are pretty bad ones.

I’d say that Biden is too old and confused to run even in the Democratic primary let alone run against Trump for the presidency but then, that’s only my humble opinion.

See Biden gaffes here: